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Intraday
Trading Techniques
These
are some of the daytrading techniques that we found to be effective
in making consistent profits. You can practice these with the RapidSP
daytrading simulator. Don’t be afraid to modify these and
come up with your own. The more techniques you have up your sleeve
the more successful you can expect to be. The techniques discussed
here assume familiarity with technical analysis and patterns. Please
read our papers on technical analysis for more information on technical
patterns.
Electronic
trading means many markets are open 24-hrs a day. But we recommend
that you trade only during times of high liquidity/volume. This
way you get much better executions, prices are better and spreads
are smaller. For futures (and even currencies) it is preferable
to trade only when major day-time markets (such as U.S. stock market)
are open.
Trading
the Gap Up Opening:
Short
the market at Gap up Open. Exit when the gap fills. In gap up openings
frequently the gap is filled partially, market goes up and again
comes down to fill the gap completely and more. Not recommended
for gap down openings. Also to the thing to keep in mind is that
if the gap is not filled immediately, it may not get filled.
Trading
a Strong Trend:
As
obvious as it sounds, if you notice a significant trend in early
hours of trading, take a position (long/short) by recognizing trend.
Trends have habit of continuing. Watch out for different technical
patterns forming along the way. Trend lines with 45 degree angles
are ideal. Trend lines with higher angles (‘steeper’
trend lines) denote excess exuberance/pessimism have tendency to
change directions quickly and violently. Also it is very important
that either you tread with the trend or not trade at all. Never
try to trade against the trend no matter how sure you are.
Trading
a Trendline Break
As
an extension to above method watch out for trendline breaks. Take
a position after the trend break assuming the trend will reverse.
Exit if continues side ways. Sideway trading is an indication that
the trend may not be broken yet. Use various moving averages and
trendlines (explained in the section in technical analysis) to detect
reversal of a trend.
Trading
a single Position throughout the day
When
the market opens, watch the market for few hours. If you do not
see anything interesting, or if the volatility is low do not trade.
Take a position if volatility is reasonable by observing the chart
formation from a technical point of view. Set a stop loss. Let the
profit run through the day. Raise stop losses to lock in gains as
the market moves in your favor. Exit at close.
Trading
with major technical patterns (W and M)
Watch
out for significant technical patterns forming such as W or M. The
wider (formed over a longer time period) the pattern the more reliable
it is. One strategy is to wait and watch till you see one of these
patterns formed and then trade. Keep tight stop losses and let the
profit run till the end of the day in this case.
Using the 200 Day moving average
Calculate
the 200 day moving average for the day, by using the 200-day moving
average calculator in RapidSP. If the market is below the 200 day
moving average, short the market as it approaches the 200 day moving
average. If the market is above the moving average, go long as the
market approaches the average. Reason is that as the market approaches
200 day moving average from above or below it will encounter either
a strong resistance (if below) or strong support (if above).
Support
and Resistance
Watch
for support and resistance levels being formed during the day. Watch
and trade only when you see a good support or resistance level being
formed. Support and resistance levels are explained in our paper
on technical analysis. Keep a short stop loss. If the instrument
breaks through your stop loss, close the position.
Watch for No. of Trades
It
is very important that you do not exceed a set no. of losing trades
(we recommend 2 losing trades per day) for any given strategy. This
avoids big set backs when the market is not acting as you are expecting.
Just take a break and relax. Do not be bent on trading when the
market is acting unpredictable for you. You must also set max. no
of losing trades in a row per day or trading session. Do not trade
if you exceed this set limit. Also set a $ limit on how much you
are willing to lose per day. Stop trading if you do. If it happens
again next day stop trading for a week.
Trading with 3/2 rule
Enter
the market with reasonable volatility and place a best-guess trade
by observing the technical pattern formations. Place an OCO order
to sell the instrument when it hits a certain stop loss or certain
profit goal. Keep the stop loss and profit goal so that the profit
goal is slightly higher (for example 3 points in case of e-mini
S&P) than the stop loss (2 points for example).
Increase
in slope of trend
Sudden
increase in slope of the trend after a long run, means the trend
is about to break in most cases. Close the trade if any and go opposite
when this happens. If it is the up trend that is being broken, expect
much more violent down side. Close this trade by placing limit order
as opposed to market order. You will typically get better execution.
Trading
on a sluggish day
If
the market is trend less for a while (2-3 hours), look for an upside
or down side break. Take two positions when you do see a break happening,
one for short term and one for long term. Trade one with the 2/3
rule described above and let the profits run on the other one. The
profit potential in this situation is typically high and you would
want to stay in to benefit. The 2/3 trade (if profitable) will give
you something to smile about if the big move doesn’t materialize.
Do not trade on a sluggish day if you do not see anything moving.
Trading
‘half-day’
This
is one of our highly preferred strategy. Look at the pattern formation
after the market has been trading for 3-4 hours. Use the pattern
formed to take you best guess about the future direction. Trade
if there is reasonable amount of information in the price action.
Though you will miss many of the major moves the market typically
make in the early hours of trading, the mood of the market is somewhat
clearer so the markets are easier to trade in the second half of
the day.
Trading
sharp rise or falls
Sharp rises or falls ‘without reason’ mean things are
happening that are beyond your understanding. We recommend that
you stay out in these situations. Do not trade highly chaotic and
volatile markets. Besides getting bad fills on your orders, these
are tough to predict one way or another. Wait till things settle
down. If you are already in, close the position as quickly as you
can.
Don’t place stop-losses at obvious places:
If you are daytrading already, how many times have you noticed that
the market hits your stop loss, you get out of the market and then
the market continues it’s original direction to your dismay?
Why does this happen so often? The stop loss price most traders
set is typically based on some trading system or rule the trader
comes up with that calculates the stop levels based on a support
area or a trend line or a Gann angle or old bottom or old top formation
or Fibonacci numbers or a chart price gap, or just simply an obvious
natural stop-loss area such as a whole number. If the concentration
or stop orders at a particular level is high, the market gets drawn
to that level.
And finally
Markets echo similar patterns over and over again. The science of
technical analysis allows you to play these formations. Keep in
mind that if you see a price pattern that you do not understand
you do not have to trade. Wait till you are on familiar turf, there
will always be another day of trading and the pattern you are looking
for is just around the corner.
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